Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 4.753423 5.268903 5.819774 6.452804 7.160834 7.929121 8.826968
2026-01-18 3.903491 4.611781 5.422047 6.419900 7.618973 9.017491 10.778154
2026-01-25 3.287256 4.091829 5.065234 6.334921 7.955172 9.963930 12.659104
2026-02-01 2.829783 3.680132 4.758610 6.235766 8.220349 10.814001 14.492467
2026-02-08 2.477339 3.345370 4.491968 6.130471 8.433161 11.585527 16.282099
2026-02-15 2.219600 3.098857 4.302974 6.090115 8.705352 12.439055 18.256966
2026-02-22 2.063278 2.970208 4.254253 6.228166 9.227716 13.681978 20.922951
2026-03-01 1.885383 2.789038 4.106965 6.197749 9.484612 14.542527 23.088213
2026-03-08 1.695802 2.570266 3.879892 6.017084 9.481412 14.987375 24.623103
2026-03-15 1.562538 2.423485 3.745790 5.962718 9.663407 15.730820 26.716984
2026-03-22 1.488214 2.360985 3.735088 6.101085 10.167292 17.043635 29.926252
2026-03-29 1.422150 2.304976 3.727975 6.241149 10.682218 18.419119 33.398781
2026-04-05 1.337125 2.212645 3.656503 6.270490 11.017449 19.532747 36.564748
2026-04-12 1.243719 2.098553 3.538904 6.208196 11.182384 20.356844 39.286444
2026-04-19 1.154232 1.983744 3.410154 6.112972 11.275210 21.053318 41.840508
2026-04-26 1.072734 1.876262 3.285044 6.011774 11.344235 21.707053 44.383666
2026-05-03 0.998737 1.776263 3.164942 5.908031 11.395751 22.327305 46.928174
2026-05-10 0.940482 1.700358 3.082500 5.868140 11.567900 23.204542 50.135414
2026-05-17 0.909786 1.673112 3.088080 6.000255 12.100800 24.881095 55.343610
2026-05-24 0.861193 1.608170 3.016646 5.970814 12.292630 25.850565 59.047887
2026-05-31 0.799581 1.513652 2.880756 5.797177 12.158917 26.093861 61.055427
2026-06-07 0.756769 1.452812 2.806424 5.744910 12.282812 26.920462 64.586555
2026-06-14 0.736915 1.436116 2.818929 5.877803 12.830561 28.770687 70.934108